Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 1.130318 1.282222 1.447843 1.641965 1.863446 2.108484 2.400445
2026-01-11 0.908167 1.117214 1.364977 1.680923 2.074071 2.548435 3.166140
2026-01-18 0.770735 1.002463 1.293366 1.686674 2.206643 2.873416 3.797976
2026-01-25 0.663708 0.902901 1.217456 1.663433 2.282883 3.117848 4.337131
2026-02-01 0.577076 0.815768 1.142405 1.624824 2.324079 3.308246 4.811644
2026-02-08 0.507800 0.742645 1.075555 1.585446 2.353196 3.476418 5.263199
2026-02-15 0.465607 0.702592 1.049650 1.599409 2.456969 3.757646 5.906615
2026-02-22 0.424684 0.659425 1.013584 1.592188 2.524572 3.986561 6.488273
2026-03-01 0.386455 0.616116 0.972280 1.571063 2.565573 4.174070 7.018240
2026-03-08 0.345070 0.563600 0.911162 1.511074 2.535597 4.240768 7.348895
2026-03-15 0.319800 0.534727 0.885046 1.505422 2.594099 4.457523 7.956904
2026-03-22 0.308675 0.528215 0.894827 1.560757 2.761340 4.874379 8.962309
2026-03-29 0.281094 0.493598 0.858190 1.539551 2.805713 5.105112 9.705351
2026-04-05 0.264740 0.477547 0.853102 1.576123 2.963018 5.565991 10.961040
2026-04-12 0.245737 0.454509 0.832759 1.581498 3.061091 5.925338 12.063249
2026-04-19 0.225300 0.426580 0.800346 1.559768 3.103064 6.179112 12.982177
2026-04-26 0.205410 0.397605 0.762899 1.523668 3.111307 6.364801 13.780121
2026-05-03 0.187636 0.370943 0.727176 1.486847 3.113141 6.536075 14.567458
2026-05-10 0.177110 0.357632 0.716384 1.499904 3.221014 6.942800 15.936632
2026-05-17 0.165541 0.341041 0.697283 1.493151 3.284760 7.260179 17.141529
2026-05-24 0.153817 0.322998 0.673415 1.473397 3.316999 7.510175 18.219037
2026-05-31 0.139947 0.299103 0.634976 1.417295 3.259894 7.548318 18.780791
2026-06-07 0.131656 0.286535 0.619723 1.412010 3.320536 7.869390 20.100468